00:01
So, when are you going to use which designs?
This is kind of fun. So remember where I mentioned
that case-control studies are useful when
my exposure status is common and the outcome
is rare and I mentioned that the cohort designs
are useful when the exposures are rare and
the outcomes are common, let's put that information
to use. Let's say we're doing a short-term
study of current uncommon exposures and common
outcomes. Obviously that's going to be a prospective
cohort, because the outcome is common, I know
I'm going to manifest some cases. If I'm doing
a short or long-term study of historic uncommon
exposures and common outcomes, it's still
a cohort design, but it's happening in the
past, so it's a retrospective. If I'm doing
an outbreak investigation, well this is classic,
almost all outbreak investigations are case-control
scenarios. Because by the time you arrive,
the outbreak has already happened, you have
some people who have the disease and you find
some people who don't have the disease and
you look back to see what caused the disease
likely. Think about a picnic, let's say some
people going to a picnic and some of them
get sick, some kind of gastrointestinal disease.
01:10
The outbreak investigator, let's say it's
you, has to arrive and figure out which food
in the picnic made them sick. While you arrive,
you find some people who have the illness
and some people who don't have the illness
and you ask them, what foods did you eat in
the picnic and you compare those results and
you figure out which food was likely the exposure
that caused the outbreak. That's a classic
case-control scenario. And instantaneous surveys,
well, that's a cross-sectional design obviously.
01:37
So let's work through some specific examples.
Is there an association between climbing Mount
Everest and getting diabetes? Okay, is climbing
is Mount Everest rare or common? I think it's
kind of rare, I don't know anybody who has ever
climbed Mount Everest, maybe you have, and
gained diabetes, unfortunately that is quite
common. So the combination of an uncommon
exposure and a common outcome is a classic
case for a cohort design. Is there an association
between left-handedness and getting mad cow
disease? Well mad cow disease in human is
quite rare; left-handedness is quite common,
so that's a case for a case-control design,
again an uncommon outcome. Is there an association
between left-handedness and gender? Well the
important considerations here are that left-handers
and gender, male or female, are very common,
they're also tend to be unchanging, so it
doesn't matter which I ascertained first or
afterwards, that's the case for a cross-sectional
study, because the timeframe is irrelevant.
02:39
What factors were likely responsible for the
salmonella outbreak at the office Christmas
party? That's an outbreak investigation. As
we established, case-control designs are classically
appropriate for outbreak investigations. And
was there an association between working on
the nuclear bomb project in World War II and
developing cancer five years later? Well that
took place in the past, so we know it's going
to be a retrospective or historic investigation
and we know that cancer is not that uncommon,
but working on a nuclear bomb project was
uncommon. So that's going to be a case for
a cohort, in other words, a retrospective
cohort. So when we want to minimize the influence
of extraneous factors that may confound our