00:00
Now let's talk about how we
would approach this question in a cross-sectional
scenario. Cross-section refers to a moment
in time, a cross-section in a long tube of
time. So we don't know what's happening before,
after, just what's happening right now. Tt's
good for measuring prevalence in the sense
that how many people have a disease or a condition
right now, that's what prevalence really is,
the proportion of the population that has
a certain outcome that we care about. So let's
say we have a sample of people, we're going
to determine from the sample, how many smoke
and how many don't smoke and we're going to
determine from these two groups, smokers and
non-smokers, how many have lung cancer and
how many don't have lung cancer, that's it.
00:45
The exposure is smoking, the outcome is lung
cancer and I'll compute the differences and
I'll get perhaps an association between those
who smoke and those who have lung cancer.
00:57
This is most commonly done in surveys, a lot
of public health information comes out of
these kinds of surveys, the media likes to
report on cross-sectional surveys a lot as
well because they're cheap and they're easy
to understand. The problem is cross-sectional
approaches cannot determine causality, because
we can't tell what came first, the smoking
or the lung cancer. It's entirely possible
that I found some lung cancer patients who
took up smoking after they got sick. It's
unlikely, but it's possible. So cross-sectional
approaches are not good for determining what
came before and what came after, we ascertain
exposure and outcome simultaneously.